Tag Archives: bitcoin news

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTCUSD Testing Double Bottom Neckline

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD Testing Double Bottom Neckline

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD Testing Double Bottom Neckline

Bitcoin could be due for an uptrend anytime now as the price is already testing the neckline of its double bottom on the 1-hour chart. A break past the $6,650 area could lead to a climb that’s the same height as the chart formation, which spans $6,100 to $6,600.

However, the 100 SMA recently crossed below the longer-term 200 SMA to signal that bearish pressure is present. This could force the neckline resistance to hold and push Bitcoin back down to the bottoms again. Then again, the moving averages just seem to be oscillating to reflect consolidation conditions, so a bullish crossover might be possible again.

RSI is hovering close to the overbought zone to signal bullish exhaustion. Turning lower could confirm that sellers are taking over while buyers take a break. Stochastic has some room to climb before hitting overbought levels, though, so buyers could have a bit more energy left to push for a neckline breakout.

he SEC just issued an order to gather more input from the public to help in its ruling on the proposed rule changes to list the Bitcoin ETF from SolidX/VanEck. Recall that they already pushed the ruling deadline back on this and could still do so again, possibly not making any decision until February next year.

If so, Bitcoin bulls might still be disappointed but could continue to keep hopes up for an approval. A flat-out rejection, on the other hand, could douse any expectations that a strong rebound to the record highs could take place this year. Approval, although seemingly least likely, could usher in strong gains across the board.

The decision is due at the end of the month and analysts are already pointing to the buildup of short positions on Bitcoin, likely the cause for the sharp dip earlier this week.

 

SARA JENN · SEPTEMBER 21, 2018 · 1:00 AM

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin At 7000 Undervalued Or Overvalued

Bitcoin At $7000, Undervalued Or Overvalued

Bitcoin At $7000, Undervalued Or Overvalued?

At $7,000, Bitcoin can be both undervalued or overvalued, depending on how the “intrinsic” value of the digital currency is calculated.

After testing the $6000-mark for a while, Bitcoin has staged a big comeback lately. In the last seven days, the digital currency has rallied 6.15%, trading close to the $7,000-mark. Other cryptocurrencies have rallied in sympathy—see table 1 and Table 2.

Table 1

Coin %7d

Bitcoin (BTC) 6.15%

Ethereum (ETH) 1.35

XRP 3.22

*As of 8/31/2018, at 4pm.

Source: Coinmarketcap.com

 

Table 2

Number of Cryptocurrencies That Advanced/Declined In The Top 100 Ranks Over The Last Seven Days

Cryptocurrencies Advance/Decline Number

Advance 84

Decline 16

*As of 8/31/2018, at 4pm.

Source: Coinmarketcap.com

The rally in cryptocurrencies have some experts cheering. One of them is Global Blockchain CEO, Shidan Gouran, who sees a 'hard value' at$6000. “What this means for the present is that motion is already happening. Because it costs about $6,000 to mine a Bitcoin, it couldn’t go too much lower than that. If no one sees any value in it, it will naturally only command its ‘hard value’ price of about that much. But as we can see, people clearly do see value in it. For example, the efforts to legalize a Bitcoin ETF are persisting. Further, story after story is hitting the news about big-name institutions taking steps to trade Bitcoin. While the idea of these big-time uses of Bitcoin were nothing more than a fantasy about a year ago, the signs are actually starting to emerge that it’s going to happen. So undoubtedly, this is stimulating demand to some degree.”

Clement Thibault, Senior Analyst at Investing.com, doesn’t share Gouran’s enthusiasm. "$7,000 is a level we've seen before so I don't regard it as a particularly noteworthy milestone,” says Thibault. “Psychologically, there might be something to it for speculators but the price is completely disconnected from any meaningful fundamentals. If the level was the result of an event, development, or adoption, that would be something more substantial — but at this point, we're trying to invent a narrative to explain the price action when there's nothing to explain."

What do econometric models say? My co-author of an academic paper on Bitcoin valuation, Greg Giordano, ran three econometric models — the Haye’smodel, the Wheatley model, and the Market Model (our own)—see table 3.

On the one side, the Hayes’ model and the Market Model estimate the Bitcoin’s intrinsic value to be $8,778.11 and $8,335.54 respectively. This means that at the current price level the digital currency is undervalued.

On the other side, Wheatley’s Model estimates Bitcoin’s value to be $1,080.58. This means that at the current price the digital currency is overvalued.

 

Table 3

Three Estimates Of Bitcoin’s Intrinsic Price*

Econometric Model Price Estimate

Hayes $8,778.11

Wheatley $1,080.58

Market Model $8,335.54

 

 

Panos Mourdoukoutas

Contributor

 

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin BTC Price Watch- Bulls Defend Uptrend Line Aiming Higher

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Watch-  Bulls Defend Uptrend Line, Aiming Higher

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Watch- Bulls Defend Uptrend Line, Aiming Higher

 

Bitcoin Price Key Highlights

 

  • Bitcoin price pulled back to the area of interest marked previously and bounced off support.

  • Price is setting its sights back on upside targets indicated using the Fibonacci extension tool.

  • Technical indicators are giving mixed signals in terms of direction, but bearish pressure appears to be fading.

Bitcoin price is resuming its climb after testing the rising trend line connecting the lows since mid-August.

Technical Indicators Signals

The 100 SMA is still below the longer-term 200 SMA on the 4-hour time frame to indicate that the path of least resistance is to the downside. In other words, there’s still a chance for the selloff to resume at this point.

However, the gap between the moving averages is narrowing to indicate slowing selling pressure. The 200 SMA, which lines up with the trend line, also held as dynamic support and could continue to do so moving forward.

In that case, bitcoin price could aim for the 38.2% extension at the swing high next or the 50% extension just past the $7,200 major psychological resistance. Stronger bullish momentum could bring it up to the 61.8% extension at $7,315 or the 78.6% extension at $7,457.70. The full extension is just above the $7,600 mark.

RSI is on the move up so bitcoin price could follow suit while buyers have the upper hand. This oscillator has some room to climb before hitting overbought levels, which means that buyers could stay in the game for a bit longer.

Meanwhile, stochastic just pulled up from the oversold area to indicate a return in bullish pressure. This has more room to head north, also suggesting that the bounce could be sustained.

A bit of month-end profit-taking flows could be seen so be mindful of any sharp dips as traders try to book profits off recent positions. In the meantime, traders still seem optimistic that the SEC could have a more positive decision in the pending bitcoin ETF applications.

 

 

 

SARAH JENN | AUGUST 31, 2018 | 4:32 AM

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin BTC Price Watch – Waiting for a Triangle Breakout

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Watch - Waiting for a Triangle Breakout

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Watch – Waiting for a Triangle Breakout

Bitcoin Price Key Highlights

  • Bitcoin price has formed higher lows and found resistance around $6,500 to create an ascending triangle pattern on its 1-hour chart.

  • Price is currently testing the resistance and is nearing the peak of the formation, so a breakout might be due soon.

  • Technical indicators are giving mixed signals on which direction the breakout might take.

Bitcoin price is consolidating inside an ascending triangle pattern and might be due for a breakout in either direction soon.

Technical Indicators Signals

The 100 SMA is above the longer-term 200 SMA to signal that the path of least resistance is to the upside. This suggests that an upside break is more likely to occur than a break lower. Also, the moving averages are near the triangle bottom to add to its strength as a floor around $6,400.

RSI is heading lower to signal that selling pressure is in play and that resistance would likely hold for now. Stochastic is also in the overbought region and turning lower suggests a pickup in bearish momentum. The chart pattern is around $600 in height so the resulting rally or selloff after a breakout could be of the same size.

 

Market Factors

Bulls continue to defend long-term support levels for bitcoin, so there’s a strong chance that the floor won’t be giving way anytime soon. Buyers now have another attempt to spur a larger rebound, possibly one that could last longer on a break of nearby resistance levels.

The anticipation for the SEC decision on the bitcoin ETF applications put on hold is building up as the end of the month nears and September approaches. However, a denial could still lead to another round of losses for bitcoin and its peers while approval might see sustained gains.

Other factors pushing bitcoin around include trade-related updates and potential contagion coming from Turkey, so price could stay sensitive to headlines from here.

 

SARAH JENN | AUGUST 20, 2018 | 4:38 AM

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin Prices Fall Even After Switzerland Approves World’s First Crypto ETF

Bitcoin Prices Fall Even After Switzerland Approves World's First Crypto ETF

Bitcoin Prices Fall Even After Switzerland Approves World’s First Crypto ETF

Investing.com – Bitcoin and other major crypto prices fell on Monday despite news that Switzerland’s authorities approved the world’s first cryptocurrency ETF.

Bitcoin fell 2.8% to $5,515.4 at 12:47 AM ET (05:47 GMT) on the Bitifinex exchange, while Ethereum slumped 6.2% to $168.29.

Litecoin dived 6.4% to $40.636.

Elsewhere, XRP plunged 7.4% to $0.48959 on the Poloniex exchange.

Amun AG, a crypto startup, is offering the fund that would allow investments in major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin and Bitcoin cash in the coming days, according to various reports.

The fund will track the Amun Crypto Basket Index (HODL5), which is based on the performance of the top five cryptocurrencies.

It would start trading on SIX, a Europe-based exchange that has a market capitalisation of around $1.6 trillion.

Hany Rashwan, CEO and co-founder of Amun, said he explored 23 other destinations before Switzerland but found Swiss the most suitable.

In other news, Japan’s Financial Services Agency plans to regulate virtual coin wallets. Currently, only companies that buy and sell digital coins are required to register with the agency.

The agency argues that wallets are like bank accounts and should fall under their jurisdiction. At the moment, Japanese law does not apply to the wallet service providers because they do not trade in digital currencies.

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin BTC Daily Price Forecast November 12

Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Price Forecast – November 12

Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Price Forecast – November 12

BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bearish

Resistance Levels: $6,800, $6,900, $7,000

Support levels: $6,300, $6,100, $8,900

Last week the price of Bitcoin was in a bullish trend. The digital currency reached a high of $6,606.42 but the bulls failed to take price to the $7,400 price level. On November 7, the crypto faced resistance at $6,600 price level and it fell. It was suggested that if price broke the $6,400 price level in a downward trend, the crypto would find support at the $6,200 price level.
 

Today, the crypto fell and approached the $6,300 price level but now in a bullish trend. Price of Bitcoin is likely to continue its rise. Meanwhile, the digital currency is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating that price is in the bearish trend zone. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.

On the 1-hour chart, the digital currency reached a low of $6,350 and pulled back. The crypto's price is above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating that price is in the bearish trend zone. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.

The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExchangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.

By Azeez M – November 12, 2018

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin price latest update: Cryptocurrency value to INCREASE due to high US debt level

Bitcoin price latest update: Cryptocurrency value to INCREASE due to high US debt level

ShapeShift CEO Erik Voorhees has said cryptocurrencies will boom during the next global financial crisis. The finance expert at the global trading firm believes the high level of US debt will cripple the economy unless more money is printed. He argues this will lead to an increase in cryptocurrency investment.

He said: “When the next global financial crisis occurs, the world will realise organisations with $20trillion in debt can’t possibly ever pay it back.

“Thus must print it instead, and thus fiat is doomed.

“Watch what happens to crypto.”

US lawmakers keep increasing the country’s debt ceiling, allowing for the federal government to take on more and more debt.

His theory is the debt level of world economies is unsustainable and will put states under pressure the next time there is a financial crash.

As a result, he believes quantitive easing will have to come into force, the process whereby governments print money, to help pay off the money they owe.

The more money in circulation the less it is worth, meaning ordinary families could be set to see their savings decrease in value.

Mr Voorhees believes this in turn could lead to more people investing in cryptocurrencies.

However, digital currencies are also a financial risk for investors due to their history of extreme volatility.

In 2017, Bitcoin’s value rocketed to more than double its value, reaching a high $19,783 in December.

However, it then plunged in 2018 to a low of less than $6,000 in June.

Since then the online money has stabilised and has seen no major rises or falls in its value.

 

City & Business | Finance

11/11/2018

 

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin BTC Daily Price Forecast November 14

Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Price Forecast – November 14

Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Price Forecast – November 14

  • BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Ranging
  • Resistance Levels: $6,800, $6,900, $7,000
  • Support levels: $6,300, $6,100, $5,900

Yesterday, November 13, the price of Bitcoin was in a sideways trend. The crypto’s price had been in a sideways trend before price broke that level to the low of $6,300 on November 11. On November 13, the crypto’s price has resumed its sideways trend. Price of Bitcoin is now fluctuating above the $6,400 price level.

The 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA are horizontally flat indicating the sideways trend. The small body’s candlesticks are indecisive candlesticks describing the indecision of buyers and sellers at the $6,400 price level. There will be no trade recommendation as the price of Bitcoin is still in a sideways trend. Meanwhile, the crypto’s price is above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating that price is likely to rise. The MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy signal.

On the 1-hour chart, the price of Bitcoin is in a sideways trend. The price bars are fluctuating above the exponential moving averages. The MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy signal.

 

By Azeez M – November 14, 2018

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Tom Lee Cuts 10000 Off EOY Bitcoin Price Forecast

Tom Lee Cuts $10,000 Off EOY Bitcoin Price Forecast

Tom Lee Cuts $10,000 Off EOY Bitcoin Price Forecast

Per an article from CNBC, Tom Lee, Bitcoin’s inside man at Fundstrat Global Advisors, recently lowered his Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction by $10,000, claiming that this industry’s foremost asset will only hit $15,000 by year’s end, not $25,000 as he has stated incessantly on previous occasions.

Like his previous bitcoin price calls, the Fundstrat executive drew attention to the break-even cost of mining one BTC, which he believes correlates directly with the price of the digital asset. Lee noted that the break-even cost with Bitmain’s S9 machine has fallen to $7,000 from $8,000, adding that it would be fair for BTC to surpass 2.2 times that amount.

He also drew attention to the Bitcoin Cash contention, which is an ongoing epic, as seen by the endless tussle between Bitcoin ABC and Bitcoin Satoshi’s Vision. Like other analysts, Lee explained that recent bearish price action can be attributed to the hard fork, alluding to the fact that this so-called “civil war” is instilling feelings of distrust in crypto investors at large.

However, while Lee’s decision to cut $10,000 off his forecast may accentuate fleeting hints of bearish sentiment, the bottom line is that the Fundstrat’s in-house research savant isn’t ready to give up on BTC just yet, even though his dignity took a strong blow to the chin, so to speak.

Lee added:

While bitcoin broke below that psychologically important $6,000, this has lead to a renewed wave of pessimism… But we believe the negative swing in sentiment is much worse than the fundamental implications.

Other Insiders Remain Bullish On Crypto

Interestingly, Lee isn’t the only industry insider to be bullish on the short to mid-term prospects of this industry.

In early-October, Spencer Bogart, a partner at Blockchain Capital, explained that positive institutional news, like the arrival of TD Ameritrade, Yale, and the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), will likely be the primary contributor to crypto’s impending bonfire (bull run), as it were.

Lee backed this claim, drawing attention to the looming launch of Bakkt and FDAS as “[a] part of a broader creation of infrastructure necessary for institutional involvement.”

In contrast, Nikolay Storonsky, CEO of Revolut, has recently claimed that retail investors will drive 2019’s crypto bull run, going against the popular sentiment that the launch of the institutional-focused Bakkt and Fidelity Digital Asset Services (FDAS) will propel crypto to Main Street after Wall Street fills their bags.

Others have begged to differ, but as always, investors, whether from the Bitcoin maximalist or altcoin advocate camp, have begun to exert their opinion that a cryptocurrency bull run is in the cards. However, at the time of writing, the crypto market has failed to recover, with BTC and its altcoin brethren posting losses of 2-3%.

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Buying Bitcoins Recent Dip Could Be Profitable Chart Watcher Points Out

Buying Bitcoins Recent Dip Could Be Profitable, Chart Watcher Points Out

Buying Bitcoins Recent Dip Could Be Profitable, Chart Watcher Points Out

Earlier this week, bitcoin saw its price drop nearly 12% in a single day, taking it below the $6,000 mark and breaking a longstanding support just under said mark. The day after, bitcoin hit a new yearly low under $5,500. The dip may be a profitable opportunity, according to one chart watcher.

As first reported by MarketWatch, Twitter user OddStats revealed that, throughout bitcoin’s history, large two-day sell-offs are usually followed by short rallies that can be profitable.

Using the Twitter users’ analysis it’s possible to see that in some cases it could’ve been extremely profitable to buy the dip, as long as it dropped over 10% in two days. The last time it occurred, at the end of March, BTC dropped roughly 14%, to about $6,840.

Those who bought the dip then would’ve seen their coins go up a whopping 46% in the next few weeks, as the flagship cryptocurrency then surged to nearly $10,000. As MarketWatch points out, in early February, the strategy would’ve been profitable as well.

At the time, BTC fell over 24.5% in said time period, but quickly recovered as in the next two weeks the cryptocurrency jumped roughly 72%. While in hindsight the strategy looks profitable, some of the microblogging website’s users have pointed out it would be hard to time the market, and that the data may not be representative.

Nevertheless, bitcoiners have seemingly been buying the recent dip. Data from the popular cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex shows the number of long contracts surged from about 23,700 to roughly 26,700 in a few days.

As MarketWatch points out, the outstanding long interest is currently at its highest level since October 11. The two-day sell-off strategy, however, may have its flaws.

Late last year, when bitcoin hit its all-time high close to $19,000, the criteria were met on December 19-20. Buying the cryptocurrency then would’ve set traders down a further 20%, as the cryptocurrency kept on dipping.

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member